Matthew Tyler's Homepage

About Me

I am a postdoc for both the Democracy and Polarization Lab and American National Election Studies (ANES) at Stanford University. Broadly, my research focuses on political methodology, American political behavior, and public opinion. Specifically, I develop new statistical tools and techniques to measure the nature, causes, and consequences of political polarization in American politics. My research is published or forthcoming at Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, American Political Science Review, The Journal of Politics, and Political Analysis.

Link to my C.V.

Publications

Learning to Dislike Your Opponents: Political Socialization in the Era of Polarization”
with Shanto Iyengar.
Forthcoming, American Political Science Review
Current Research Overstates American Support for Political Violence
with Sean Westwood, Justin Grimmer, and Clayton Nall
2022, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- See also Reply to Kalmoe and Mason: The pitfalls of using surveys to measure low-prevalence attitudes and behavior with Sean Westwood, Justin Grimmer, and Clayton Nall. 2022, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Partisan Enclaves and Information Bazaars: Mapping Selective Exposure to Online News
with Justin Grimmer and Shanto Iyengar
2022, The Journal of Politics
The Structure of Political Choices: Distinguishing Between Constraint and Multidimensionality
with William Marble
2022, Political Analysis
Machine Learning Predictions as Regression Covariates
with Christian Fong
2021, Political Analysis

Working Papers

Counterfactual Forecasting: Causal Inference without Simultaneous Controls
A Statistical Framework to Engage the Problem of Disengaged Survey Respondents
with Justin Grimmer, Sean Westwood
Testing the Robustness of the ANES Feeling Thermometer Indicators of Affective Polarization
with Shanto Iyengar
Getting More out of Human Coders with Statistical Models