Matthew Tyler

About Me

I am a postdoc for both the Democracy and Polarization Lab and American National Election Study (ANES) at Stanford University. I develop new statistical methods for descriptive and causal inference with applications to political polarization in the US. My research is published or forthcoming at Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, American Political Science Review, The Journal of Politics, and Political Analysis.

Link to my C.V.

Publications

1. Learning to Dislike Your Opponents: Political Socialization in the Era of Polarization
   with Shanto Iyengar
   Forthcoming, American Political Science Review
   [DOI]

2. Current Research Overstates American Support for Political Violence
   with Sean Westwood, Justin Grimmer, and Clayton Nall
   2022, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
   [DOI] [OSF]

3. Partisan Enclaves and Information Bazaars: Mapping Selective Exposure to Online News
   with Justin Grimmer and Shanto Iyengar
   Forthcoming, The Journal of Politics
   [DOI]

4. The Structure of Political Choices: Distinguishing Between Constraint and Multidimensionality
   with William Marble
   Forthcoming, Political Analysis
   [DOI]

5. Machine Learning Predictions as Regression Covariates
   with Christian Fong
   2021, Political Analysis
   [DOI]

Working Papers

• Counterfactual Forecasting: Causal Inference without Simultaneous Controls
  Under Review
  [PDF]

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